Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.333036 1.510547 1.704862 1.933680 2.196162 2.488319 2.838806
2025-12-07 1.073469 1.308808 1.587516 1.943206 2.386910 2.924516 3.628839
2025-12-14 0.881902 1.140003 1.465609 1.909243 2.502146 3.273065 4.360894
2025-12-21 0.736209 0.998697 1.347640 1.849823 2.561210 3.543578 5.021457
2025-12-28 0.670541 0.949624 1.338454 1.926421 2.804707 4.086534 6.133035
2026-01-04 0.612662 0.901096 1.319931 1.981736 3.018398 4.608782 7.289129
2026-01-11 0.562187 0.855333 1.297132 2.023540 3.211674 5.119778 8.500633
2026-01-18 0.516182 0.809762 1.267392 2.047647 3.375556 5.600268 9.730258
2026-01-25 0.465463 0.750347 1.207974 2.014034 3.435853 5.911020 10.705849
2026-02-01 0.411737 0.679903 1.122306 1.924464 3.385462 6.018125 11.318571
2026-02-08 0.371953 0.628473 1.062587 1.871947 3.392362 6.225360 12.147957
2026-02-15 0.339269 0.585832 1.013295 1.831665 3.415144 6.462075 13.067922
2026-02-22 0.325708 0.576690 1.024147 1.907608 3.677100 7.212958 15.215481
2026-03-01 0.306237 0.554983 1.010145 1.935105 3.848843 7.811836 17.155444
2026-03-08 0.281895 0.521759 0.971163 1.908765 3.907237 8.183953 18.656730
2026-03-15 0.256706 0.484415 0.920410 1.852382 3.894370 8.399925 19.831594
2026-03-22 0.248969 0.480149 0.933764 1.930414 4.183647 9.332118 22.938884
2026-03-29 0.239422 0.471261 0.936764 1.986422 4.431110 10.206263 26.078378
2026-04-05 0.229255 0.460061 0.933736 2.028575 4.652123 11.051633 29.318637
2026-04-12 0.218291 0.446115 0.923425 2.052850 4.833609 11.827662 32.532447
2026-04-19 0.203410 0.422462 0.889870 2.019186 4.867770 12.232008 34.760629
2026-04-26 0.185459 0.390589 0.835285 1.929385 4.747967 12.211962 35.714875
2026-05-03 0.171908 0.367262 0.797715 1.876730 4.717667 12.430712 37.459427